The
Global Solar Cartel
Subsidies, then tariffs,
and now fixing prices and quotas.
The
Obama Administration and European Union are looking for ways to avoid a trade
war with China over solar-energy panels. Their brilliant proposed solution? A
global cartel enforced by government.
The U.S. Commerce
Department set duties on Chinese-made solar cells in October after an
investigation ruled that Beijing unfairly subsidizes its panel makers. The
European Commission followed this month, proposing tariffs of up to 67.9%.
China, in turn, threatened last week to impose duties on American and EU
exports of polysilicon, the raw material in solar cells. The EU taxes are due
to take effect next month.
Ending the tariffs and
subsidies on all sides would be the easiest solution, though never count on
Washington and Brussels to choose market sanity over political intervention.
The deal taking shape will require Chinese solar firms to sell in America and
Europe at above-market prices and in restricted quantities. The hope is that by
guaranteeing panel makers across all three continents a profit, the green
economy can power onward.
Call it tragicomic that the
only way for the U.S. and EU to achieve their green objectives is to embrace
China's model of state-managed capitalism. But the story is also a parable of
how the cronyism inherent in the renewable-energy industry can clash with
environmental goals.
American and European panel makers, notably
the Bonn-based SolarWorld,
SWV.XE +2.15%have
lobbied heavily for tariffs, but the solar-energy producers and installers
rightly complain that this will raise their costs. Higher panel prices will
raise consumer prices for solar power, which is still uncompetitive despite
huge subsidies.
Beijing wouldn't be
supporting Chinese panel makers at all without the market for solar components
that renewable-energy subsidies created in the West. In subsidizing one
industry, Western governments generated clamor for trade protections in
another. Washington and Brussels need to layer intervention upon intervention
to keep their green agendas afloat.
This all recalls the 1980s
when Washington worked out deals with Tokyo to resolve trade disputes over
cars, electronics and other manufactured goods. Japanese auto makers could sell
in America up to a fixed quota, for instance, and American firms were
guaranteed a fixed share of the Japanese memory chip market.
"Managed trade" was the term of art
for this sort of protectionism. The problem vanished when American chip makers
like Intel diversified into higher-value chips in which they were superior to
Japanese firms. But consumers on both sides of the Pacific were clear losers.
The so-called voluntary import and export restraints kept prices artificially
high.
A return to managed trade today would do
similar damage. But it also underscores how the green-energy project has from
the start been a politically directed exercise that depends on government to
survive.
A version of
this article appeared May 23, 2013, on page A12 in the U.S. edition of The Wall
Street Journal, with the headline: The Global Solar Cartel.
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