From the Survival Blog
Many readers will recall that my 2011
novel "Survivors: A Novel of the
Coming Collapse"
was partly set in and near
Farmington, New Mexico. I chose that region because it has a particularly
resilient power grid. In the novel I described how Farmington Electric Utility
System (FEUS) has made contingency plans to immediately reconstitute a local
power grid, in the event of a western power grid collapse. This was not just
literary license on my part. It was based on a face-to-face interview with a
FEUS manager that I conducted in 2009, as I was researching locales for the
novel. That manager told me that if the western grid collapsed, all FEUS
customers could have their power restored in less than a minute. This
capability is called "islanding" or "controlled system
separation." While not a secret, islanding capability is not well-known
outside of the power industry. Islanding is also uncommon in most of the
United States. (Most Americans live in areas where the majority of their power
is imported from the larger grids. It is only in a few areas such as the
Pacific Northwest and the Four Corners that are net power exporters. This zoomable map shows
you the Big Picture for the US and parts of Canada.
America's Three Power Grids
There are actually three main power
grids in the United States: an eastern grid, a western grid, and a Texas grid. This map shows the dividing lines, and this map shows some
planned changes. Within those three grids, there are distinct service areas.
And within those service areas, there is a patchwork of large power
companies, co-ops, and a few independent power producers.
The majority of Americans depend on
power that comes from coal-fired or nuclear power plants. Both of these sources
would be problematic in the event of major societal disruption. NERC
regulations require shutdowns of nuclear plants for trivial reasons, and
coal-fired plants require literally trainloads of coal to keep running.
The most stable power in event of an economic disaster will be hydroelectric. The Pacific Northwest has the clear
advantage in hydroelectric power and some of the most reliable and least expensive power in
the country. Generally, where there are large dams there is plentiful hydro power, and
the greatest potential for stable local islanding. (But note that potential
does not necessarily mean planned. You will need to check on that with
your local power company's management to see if they have made the requisite
arrangements for islanding.)
Where Will the Islands be?
Do some online research to find maps
like this one: Map of Bonneville Power
Administration (BPA) transmission lines. Then call you local utility
and find out if they are power exporters or importers. If they are exporters,
ask if they have an islanding plan.
Long Term?
In the event of a long term grid-down
situation where the coal trains stop running there will just be a few areas
that will have reliable power. Most of these will be in the Pacific Northwest,
where hydroelectric power predominates.
Black Startup
In the event that one or all three
American grids collapse because of something catastrophic such as a major solar
flare, or an economic whammy that stops coal train traffic, getting the grids
back up might be difficult. Typically a power plant requires lots of outside
power to be re-started. The re-starts that done without functioning
outside power--commonly called Black Startup or Dark Startup
--are a challenge. Here is a quote from the sometimes useful
LeftistAgendaPedia: "To provide a black start, some power stations have
small diesel generators which can be used to start larger generators (of
several megawatts capacity), which in turn can be used to start the main power
station generators." In the event of a nationwide collapse of the power
grid, the best chance for power plants to be restarted and partial grid
restoration will be in the Northwest, where hydro power will be available to
feed the grid.
Off The Grid
Home generation is the sure way of
knowing that you will have power. (Even if you are fortunate enough to live
near a hydroelectric dam or geothermal power plant, you can't assume that
your power will be restored in the event of a power grid collapse.) Home power
systems that are not grid tied will be the most resilient to solar
storms or EMP. This is because grid power lines can act as unintentional
antennas. To be fully prepared for a solar storm, it might be necessary to
store spare charge controllers and perhaps even spare inverters, for a worst
case. These spares should be stored disconnected, preferably in Faraday
enclosures.
If you are planning to strategically
relocate your family to a safe region, I recommend that power utility islanding
be part of your criteria for choosing locales. Places with plentiful
hydroelectric power are your best bet. But again, don't just assume that
they are ready for islanding. Take the time to call the local power company
or co-op, and ask them if they have contingency plans for islanding, and if so
what would be the geographic boundaries for their planned island. This
could make a huge difference for the quality of life that you will have in the
dark times to come. - J.W.R.
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