By James R. Holmes
To travel in the Asia-Pacific is to
reacquaint yourself with geography. Case in point: Australia. For Americans,
Australia is Foster's, throwing meat on the barbie (a term I haven't heard
once this week) at Outback Steakhouse, and Crocodile Dundee. None of those are
bad things. But there's more to the country than that. A quick survey of the
environs:
First, Australia is an island, a
continent and a nation all at once. It bears some resemblance to the
United States in that sense, albeit without even the friendly, and far from
geopolitically troublesome, neighbors to its north and south. Isolated from
external threats by water, Australia, like the United States, has the option —
and at times displays a propensity — to turn inward, neglecting the sea and the
navy. I'd be a rich Naval Diplomat if I had a dollar for every time I've heard
this lament from Australian officers at this week's Sea Power Conference.
Seafaring culture demands care and feeding to thrive.
Second, the nation straddles the
juncture between the halves of the grand Indo-Pacific theater, or the "Indo-Asia-Pacific," to use the unwieldy, not terribly helpful term now
occasionally heard in defense circles. Australia's position astride the
Indo-Pacific seam could impart a horizontal, east-west character to maritime
strategy. Forces based here, that is, could swing into action far more readily
than could forces based at the extreme ends of the theater, such as Japan or
Bahrain — home to the U.S. Seventh and Fifth fleets, respectively. A central
geographic position bestows options on mariners wise enough to exploit it.
Third, such forces could range
around the periphery. Australia holds an exterior position vis-a-vis Southeast
Asia, outside the southern rim of the South China Sea. This makes the South
China Sea unique among semi-enclosed seas. It's rather as though a massive
island were positioned due east of Puerto Rico, letting the island's
inhabitants maneuver outside the Caribbean and Gulf while influencing the
shipping lanes connecting those expanses with the broad Atlantic. If Canberra
can look east into the Pacific or west into the Indian Ocean, it can also look
north into the South China Sea or operate outside the perimeter of that
contested expanse. This vertical dimension, along with the horizontal
dimension, adds up to a lot of vectors demanding policy and strategic
attention, particularly for a middle power like Australia. An Australia attuned
to its maritime surroundings should fare well managing its near seas. An
inward-facing Australia could run afoul of savvier competitors.
Fourth, Australia is something like
Cuba was for Mahan. Again, it occupies a blessed geographic position. It's big,
and it boasts plentiful resources relative to its modest population. It would
be hard if not impossible to blockade. Defenders would simply shift resources
overland, using overland transport to evade the blockading force. And it's
defensible. It lies largely out of reach of potential adversaries' weaponry.
Forces could disperse to points around the long coastline or the continental
interior to elude bombardment or a blockade.
And finally, Australia is
geographically interdependent with the islands connecting it to North America
by sea. In the early 1890s, when Mahan was hectoring Washington to annex
Hawaii, he pointed out that that archipelago lay along the sea lanes connecting
the Panama Canal with East Asia and the routes connecting western Canada
with Australia. It was the only convenient stopping point for American or
British shipping amid a desolate stretch of ocean. That basic geographic fact
rivets attention on the trans-Pacific seaways. The U.S. Navy and Marine
campaign in the Solomon Islands (1942-1943) sought to preserve this lifeline
between North America and Australia when Imperial Japan tried to sever it.
South Pacific geography, then, imposes yet more demands on Canberra's and the
Australian Defense Force's attention.
All in all, this is a complex and
demanding environment. One wishes Australian maritime proponents well as they
try to resuscitate and preserve the nation's seafaring culture. Canberra's
foreign policy and strategy could come under duress without it.
The article can be found at:
http://thediplomat.com/the-naval-diplomat/2013/10/09/the-geopolitics-of-australia/
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