Bees and Ants on How
to Make Decisions
When it comes to making decisions, bees and
ants can act against stereotype
By Robert M. Sapolsky in
the Wall Street Journal
It can be challenging
to choose the best way to solve a problem, to find the right tool for a job.
Work intuitively or analytically? Alone or in a group? If in a group, through
top-down or bottom-up decision-making? And how to figure out if it's actually a
task you should just avoid?
Scientists study
decision-making; consultants flourish advising on the subject. Remarkably,
insects navigate similar challenges—often with great success and in ways that
undermine our stereotypes of their species.
Social insects excel
at what we've come to call the "wisdom of the crowd," in which a
group of moderately informed individuals is more accurate than a lone
"expert." Suppose two bees each discover a different food source. As
research beginning almost a century ago has shown, each bee then returns to the
hive and "dances," communicating the direction and distance of the
food; when a bee in the hive encounters a dancer, she investigates that source.
How does the hive figure out which is the better resource?
Suppose site B has
twice the food as site A, and as a result, the scout from that source dances
for twice as long. The other bees in the hive will encounter the site B scout
dancer twice as often as the other bee; soon, twice as many bees investigate
and return from site B as from site A, and they dance for twice as long, too.
This results in four times as many bees checking out B than A, then eight times
as many, then…everyone. No bee investigates both sites, yet the better site is
chosen.
Work by Takao Sasaki
and Stephen Pratt of Arizona State University and colleagues, published in the
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, explores something similar in
ants. Given two nests, how does an ant colony determine which is preferable (in
this case, which has a darker interior)? A scout returns, and the better the
nest, the sooner she leads a second ant to it, causing that exponential shift
of colony preference for that site. Ants sometimes move randomly, so this
system can amplify a wrong choice; still, it works much better than chance.
To test the limits of
this method, the authors had groups of ants and single ants pick nests. The
choice was either easy (major lighting differences between the two nests) or
difficult (subtler distinctions).
For difficult
comparisons, ant groups were more effective than singletons in selecting the
best nest in a set time. But critically, for easy tasks, it was the other way
around. For one thing, by the time a lone ant had made the obvious choice, the
group was still forming subcommittees to write the Environmental Impact
Statement. And for easy choices, a single ant is likely to be more accurate,
since it isn't vulnerable to random fluctuations amplifying the wrong choice.
So even ants struggle
with finding the right tool for the task.
Insects demonstrate
another type of wisdom. Publishing in the same journal, Clint Perry and Andrew
Barron of Macquarie University studied honeybees using two vials of fluid, each
attached to a symbol that a bee had to learn to recognize. The vial near the
correct symbol contains sugar water—yum. The vial near the wrong symbol
contains quinine—yech. By choosing, the bee could be rewarded or punished. Or
it could opt out and not choose.
When the contrast was
easy—say, between a circle and triangle—bees typically chose, and with great
success. But for difficult choices—say, a circle versus an oval—the bees took
longer to choose. More important, they frequently opted out, thereby greatly
improving their success rate. They knew when to hold 'em and when to fold 'em.
What to make of this,
besides the fact that these are impressive feats for organisms with roughly one
neuron for every 100,000 we have? First, even ants need some rugged
individualism. Second, judicious bees aren't drawn like bees to honey if the
odds of succeeding aren't great.
No comments:
Post a Comment