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Thursday, June 10, 2010

What happens next?

Nobody knows for sure, but all can guess since that is just human nature, and parental nature probably. Most have heard of similar ideas like self-preservation and maternal-preservation. And governments can dictate behavior, but they can’t dictate what humans think, as much as they may try.

The scary part is the leadership in USA America. It seems we have presently some bad combination of lightweights and ideologues in both our executive branch, and our two legislative branches. And we elected them, and also the world does not stop. And USA America is still a big player in our human world.

Now in fairness, maybe the lightweight and ideologue collars are unfair, but that is still what probably most Americans, and maybe world people, think today. After all, the perception is just as important as the reality, and this idea goes back way before modern media like TV and modern methods like propaganda. Even Roman rulers and dictators had to listen and use this knowledge, and perception, to try rule.

And to predict, soothsay if you will, is analogous to psycho-babble in my opinion. To predict what and how and why people think is usually a waste of time. It is more practical to predict other people’s capabilities. The obvious example is men and women. We still can’t predict each other’s intents reliably. Now the capabilities, well that is another matter.

So what is going to happen in the near future, both foreign and domestic.

First the foreign area. The preverbal cork is out of the bottle, and all the world’s regional problems will become more obvious to both the western media and the citizens affected. Most conflicts start by poor judgment of the local regional leaders, which is pretty much how much can they get away with. It is the surprises from misjudgments that start regional wars. Now some wars may be between regions, and some may be internal, like a civil war. If one reads the local media, more of this is traditional human stuff.

Second the domestic, like USA America area. Here we have the lightweight problem, presently. Traditional history suggests terrible times, such as these days, often make a leader much greater because of his response given the challenges and problems. Another historical idea is that great leaders are born, and do well in whatever situation they get elected or appointed to. It is the other idea, that some lightweight human and his or her hired minions are doing their best in terrible times, and their best is “shabby”. In other words, other courses of action might have helped we common citizens better.

Now what shabby means depends on what happens. Lord hope it not be some kind of dictatorship or other such attempt to usurp control and power. Lord hope even these lightweights are more reserved and smarter.

Third is the wildcard idea. It can be both mother nature driven, or human nature driven. In either case, the idea of a “one world government” may fade as humans do the more traditional things like retreat to home and more local governments. In this case even the idea of nation states will probably fade in favor of whatever government existed before.

Yes, the world will go on for a while. And hopefully, though naïve I think, human voting will become more used than wars, revolutions, and civil wars. Now that is the human factor mixed with western influence. Just what mother nature does with us is another matter.

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