Why Are We Sending This Attack Helicopter to Pakistan?
Past behavior indicates Islamabad
won’t use the Viper and other U.S. weapons against jhadists.
By Husain Haqqani in the Wall Street Journal
The Obama administration’s decision
this month to sell almost $1 billion in U.S.-made attack helicopters, missiles
and other equipment to Pakistan will fuel conflict in South Asia without
fulfilling the objective of helping the country fight Islamist extremists.
Pakistan’s failure to tackle its jihadist challenge is not the result of a lack
of arms but reflects an absence of will. Unless Pakistan changes its worldview,
American weapons will end up being used to fight or menace India and perceived
domestic enemies instead of being deployed against jihadists.
Competition with India remains the
overriding consideration in Pakistan’s foreign and domestic policies. By aiding
Pakistan over the years—some $40 billion since 1950, according to the
Congressional Research Service—the U.S. has fed Pakistan’s delusion of being
India’s regional military equal. Seeking security against a much larger
neighbor is a rational objective but seeking parity with it on a constant basis
is not.
Instead of selling more military
equipment to Pakistan, U.S. officials should convince Pakistan that its
ambitions of rivaling India are akin to Belgium trying to rival France or
Germany. India’s population is six times as large as Pakistan’s while India’s
economy is 10 times bigger, and India’s $2 trillion economy has managed
consistent growth whereas Pakistan’s $245 billion economy has grown
sporadically and is undermined by jihadist terrorism and domestic political
chaos. Pakistan also continues to depend on Islamist ideology—through its
school curricula, propaganda and Islamic legislation—to maintain internal
nationalist cohesion, which inevitably encourages extremism and religious
intolerance.
Clearly, with the latest military
package, the Obama administration expects to continue the same policies adopted
by several of its predecessors—and somehow get different results. It’s a
mystery why the president suddenly trusts Pakistan’s military—after mistrusting
it at the time of the Navy SEAL operation in May 2011 that found and killed Osama bin Laden
living safely until then in the Pakistani garrison town of Abbottabad.
One explanation is that selling
helicopters and missiles is easier than thinking of alternative strategies to
compel an errant ally to change its behavior. This is a pattern in
U.S.-Pakistan relations going back to the 1950s. Between 1950 and 1969, the
U.S. gave $4.5 billion in aid to Pakistan partly in the hope of using Pakistani
troops in anticommunist wars, according to declassified U.S. government
documents. Pakistan did not contribute a single soldier for the wars in Korea
or Vietnam but went to war with India over the disputed border state of Kashmir
instead in 1965.
During the 1980s, Pakistan served as
the staging ground for the jihad against the Soviet occupation of Afghanistan
and received another $4.5 billion in aid, as reported by the Reagan and George
H.W. Bush administrations to Congress. Pakistan diverted U.S. assistance again
toward its obsessive rivalry with India, and trained insurgents to fight in the
Indian part of Kashmir as well as in India’s Punjab state. It also violated
promises to the U.S. and its own public statements not to acquire nuclear
weapons, which it first tested openly in 1998—arguing that it could not afford
to remain nonnuclear while India’s nuclear program surged ahead.
Since the 1990s, Pakistan has
supported various jihadist groups, including the Afghan Taliban. After 9/11,
the country’s military dictator, Gen. Pervez Musharraf, promised to end support
for the Islamic radicals. Based on that promise, Pakistan received $15.1
billion in civil and military aid from the U.S. until 2009. In February, Gen.
Musharraf admitted in an interview with the U.K.’s Guardian newspaper that he
continued to support the Afghan Taliban even after 9/11 because of concerns
over close relations between Afghanistan and India. Thus the U.S. was
effectively arming a country that was, in turn, arming insurgents fighting and
killing American troops in Afghanistan.
After the Dec. 16, 2014, attack on a
Peshawar school, where the Taliban massacred 160 people, including many
schoolchildren, Pakistan claimed it had changed its policy toward terrorist
groups and would no longer distinguish between “good” and “bad” Taliban. The
Pakistani military has since sped up military action against terrorist groups
responsible for mayhem inside Pakistan. But the destruction, demobilization,
disarmament or dismantling of Afghan Taliban and other radical groups is
clearly not on the Pakistani state’s agenda. There has been no move against
Kashmir-oriented jihadist groups.
Given Pakistan’s history, it is
likely that the 15 AH-1Z Viper helicopters and 1,000 Hellfire missiles—as well
as communications and training equipment being offered to it—will be used against
secular insurgents in southwest Baluchistan province, bordering Iran, and along
the disputed border in Kashmir rather than against the jihadists in the
northwest bordering Afghanistan.
If the Obama administration believes
Pakistan’s military has really changed its priorities, it should consider
leasing helicopters to Pakistan and verify where they are deployed before going
through with outright sales.
With nuclear weapons, Pakistan no
longer has any reason to feel insecure about being overrun by a larger Indian
conventional force. For the U.S. to continue supplying a Pakistani military
that is much larger than the country can afford will only invigorate Pakistani
militancy and militarism at the expense of its 200 million people, one-third of
whom continue to live at less than a dollar a day per household.
Mr. Haqqani, the director for South
and Central Asia at the Hudson Institute in Washington, D.C., was Pakistan’s
ambassador to the U.S., 2008-11.
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